
Tested on demo accounts by the seller. A utility has no trading performance, so no Trust State applies - see the description for exactly what was tested.
AT24 Volatility Forecast (MT4)
'Volatility is high' is usually judged by eye or by a single ATR number. AT24 Volatility Forecast for MetaTrader 4 estimates the expected size of the next move over the horizon you choose and then checks, on your own symbol, how well its past forecasts tracked the volatility that really followed. What you get - The expected 1-sigma and 2-sigma move over the next 8 hours (the horizon is an input), in price and in percent, as a band from the last close. - A volatility state - LOW / NORMAL / HIGH / VERY HIGH - from the percentile of the current level with the time-of-day pattern removed, and its size against the normal level. - A calibration table: correlation between the forecast and the volatility that followed, and the share of windows within +-30%, next to a plain average and an ATR(14)-only forecast. - Size of moves, NOT direction: it says nothing about where price will go. Closed bars only. What was verified: compiles with 0 errors and 0 warnings in MetaEditor 4 and runs on an MT4 demo terminal on XAUUSD H1 (974 windows of 8 hours: the forecast correlated 0.65 with the volatility that followed and 53% of windows landed within +-30%, against 0.61 / 49% for a plain average and 0.62 / 27% for ATR(14) alone - see the screenshot). These numbers are historical and descriptive; real tails are fatter than a normal band suggests, and there is no directional edge. Not verified: live-money use, other symbols and brokers, the licence check with a real purchase on MT4. It is delivered as a non-trading utility Expert Advisor (MT4 does not allow licence checks inside indicators). MetaTrader 4 only. Education tool, not a signal: it draws levels and shows context, it never places orders and gives no buy or sell advice. It uses no DLL. Personal use on your own charts. Past averages and past price behaviour do not predict the future.
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Trust State
Not checked. AT24 has not checked this listing, so the description and any performance figures are the seller's own claims. "Not checked" is not a negative signal by itself - it means no verification has been run for it yet. If the seller attached a demo or live account, its real results are shown separately on this page.
Evidence
AT24-computed only. Never seller-entered.
No AT24-verified Evidence is attached to this listing yet. Evidence unavailable — nothing below this line is a performance claim.
Validation
No AT24 validation has been run for this listing yet. Validation unavailable.
Risk Analysis
No AT24 risk analysis has been run for this listing yet. Risk analysis unavailable.
History
No AT24 history has been recorded for this listing yet.
Version
Version: AT24-VOLATILITY-FORECAST-MT4-v1.00
Trading System: AT24-VOLATILITY-FORECAST-MT4
All Evidence, Validation, Risk Analysis, History, and Trust State shown on this page belong to this specific Version only. A different Version of this same trading system — past or future — has its own independent evidence and Trust State; nothing is inherited automatically.
One-time purchase. A signed license is issued to your account after payment, valid for one active device.
Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past backtested or historical performance — verified or otherwise — does not guarantee future results. AT24's Trust State reflects the state of AT24's evidence about a trading system; it is not a profitability guarantee, a recommendation to buy or use this system, or investment advice. No trading system is risk-free.